San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions (2024)

The Los Angeles Dodgers (10-6) welcome the San Diego Padres (8-8) for the 2nd game of their 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is set for 9:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’slines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 2-1

The Dodgers lost to the Padres 8-7 Friday, closing as a -206 favorite. They have lost 2 in a row yet are still 2-2 straight up in their last 4. Los Angeles is 7-9 against the spread (ATS) on the season. It sits 1st in the National League West.

The Padres have won 3 of their last 4 games, scoring at least 8 runs in each of those victories. San Diego is 2-2 on the road and 3-3 either on the road or on a neutral field. The Padres are 8-8 ATS on the season and sit 2nd in the National League West.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Matt Waldron vs. RHP Gavin Stone

Waldron (0-1, 3.86 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 through 9 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 3-2 road loss to the San Francisco Giants Sunday
• 2023 home splits: 0-2, 4.32 ERA (25 IP, 12 ER — 6 HR), 7 BB, 23 K in 3 starts (5 appearances)

Stone (0-1, 9.00 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 2.13 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 12.4 K/9 through 8 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 5 K in an 8-1 road loss over the Chicago Cubs Sunday
• 2023 home splits: 0-1, 8.62 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 15 ER — 4 HR), 6 BB, 11 K in 4 appearances (2 starts)

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Padres at Dodgers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Padres +164 (bet $100 to win $164) | Dodgers -196 (bet $196 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-125) | Dodgers -1.5 (+104)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -122 | U: +100)

Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Padres 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Dodgers have lost 2 straight games as heavy favorites, and while they could get back to their winning ways, they aren’t worth a play at -196.

The Padres have some moneyline value, but the preferred play is on the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PADRES +1.5 (-125).

The Padres have given up a combined 9 runs in the 2 games Waldron has started. Despite losing both, they are 1-1 ATS in those games. San Diego has covered in 4 of its last 6. San Diego has averaged 7 runs per game on the Dodgers in the teams’ 3 battles this season.

The Dodgers have failed to cover in both games which Stone has started, despite going 1-1 in those battles. They are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games and 7-9 ATS on the season.

Take PADRES +1.5 (-125).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 9 (+100).

The Dodgers have traded off going Over and Under in their last 7 games and are primed for an Under after topping the 8.5 total in their 15-run game Friday.

The Padres are 8-7-1 O/U on the season but have gone Under in 6 of their last 9, scoring 4 or fewer in all but 3. Expect a more low-scoring game than their Friday fireworks and take UNDER 9 (+100).

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